But it's a very different Nasdaq than it was 13 years ago, the last time it visited the heady air above 4000, as it did on Monday.
That was the exhilarating era of the dot-com bubble, when analysts Mary Meeker and Henry Blodget commanded rock-star status on Wall Street; CMGI had its name on the New England Patriots' stadium; and networking gear maker JDSU Uniphase's stock jumped above $1,000 a share.
Thirteen years later, Meeker has faded into relative obscurity; Blodget has reinvented himself as an Internet publisher (although he is barred from the securities industry for life and was fined $4 million for misleading investors); Gillette picked up CMGI's naming rights; and many investors have no idea what JDS Uniphase is — and its stock trades at $12.
Nasdaq 4000. Same number. Different world. We've gone through a horrific terrorist attack on 9/11, two wars — one ongoing — two massive bear markets and two recessions.
(While the Nasdaq was able to get as high at 4,007.09 during the day, selling pressure eventually won out and left it up just 2.92 points at 3,994.57, just shy of the big round number.)
Tech investors in 2000 were right about the possibilities of the Internet and mobile computing. But they were dead wrong about which companies would be in the vanguard and how long those advances would take.
And they paid the price.
Returning to 4000 — first crossed in December 1999 and last seen in September 2000 — is a symbolic end to more than a decade of pain. Legions of investors plunged into the tech-stock craze of the late 1990s in search of easy riches and ended up falling victim to the worst crash since the Great Depression.
The Nasdaq fell 78% in 2½ years. Many investors worried it might be a long time before they got their money back. But few could have imagined it would be this long.
"It's taken 13 years to get back," says Jack Ablin of BMO Private Bank. "It just shows the magnitude of that bubb! le we expanded back in 1999 and 2000."
Then, 1000-point barriers fell roughly every two months, as investors piled into money-losing Internet companies. The technology firms that did make money commonly carried triple-digit valuations, meaning investors would pay $100 or more to own a claim to every dollar in profit the companies generated. This time it's been 21 months since the Nasdaq crossed 3000, and many leading tech stocks have P-Es in the teens, meaning now investors are paying a much more reasonable price, roughly $15 to own a claim to every dollar in companies' profits.
Top 10 Stocks To Buy Right Now
But while 4000 is cause for celebration for battle-scarred investors, the watershed doesn't erase the torment. While the broader indexes — the Dow Jones industrial average and Standard & Poor's 500 — have set all-time highs all year, the Nasdaq remains 20% below its high-water mark of 5049 set on March 10, 2000.
The recovery of the Nasdaq has been a complex tale of creative destruction, where old companies that once fueled the index have been pushed aside by new players. Factors include:
• The advent of non-tech. The words Nasdaq and technology were practically synonymous in 2000. But that largely changed after the tech bubble burst. Now, non-tech stocks are playing a more significant role. Tech is still critical for the Nasdaq, accounting for 42% of the index's market value. But that's down from 51% in March 2000, according to Nasdaq OMX, the company that owns and operates the exchange. And the supply of new stocks is coming from other industries. So far this year, technology trails health care and financials as the industries generating the most IPOs.
• The rise of new players. Back in 2000, Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Intel, Oracle and Sun accounted for 8.9%, 8.5%, 7.1%, 3.6% and 2.6%, respectively, of the value of the Nasdaq composite. Today, companies that were jus! t startin! g out or didn't even exist — think Google, Amazon and Facebook — are in the top 10, accounting for 4.7%, 2.7% and 1.5% of Nasdaq's value. Microsoft, Cisco and Intel's weight has fallen sharply. Apple, which wasn't in the top 10 in 2000, is a behemoth at 7.9%.
• More room at the top. The top 10 most valuable stocks in the Nasdaq in 2000 accounted for 40% of the Nasdaq composite value, Nasdaq OMX says. Today, the top 10 most valuable stocks command 32% of the index' value.
So is the Nasdaq enjoying a long overdue catch-up with the rest of the market, or is the broad market overpriced, with the Nasdaq being pulled along for the ride? Many investors soured on Nasdaq stocks after Apple went from a darling stock trading at more than $700 a share to crater to $400 in April, says Fane Lozman, a trader at market research firm Scanshift.com. But for now, investors are happy to jump back in.
"The Apple flush scared away investors," Lozman says. "But things have calmed down, and memories are short."
And the changing face of its leadership shows the Nasdaq's rise is being powered by fresh developments rather than a bounce back of failed ideas, says Doug Sandler of RiverFront Investment Group. "The reality is that the only thing that's the same from Nasdaq 4000 in 1999 and Nasdaq 4000 in 2013," he says, "is the number 4000."
APHouse Speaker John Boehner with House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, at right, at Republican National Committee headquarters in Washington on Tuesday. WASHINGTON -- The U.S. House of Representatives passed a comprehensive farm bill on Wednesday that cuts payments for food stamps by about 1 percent and ends a direct subsidy to farmers, while expanding government-backed crop insurance programs. After months of negotiations and criticism from both sides of the political spectrum the measure passed easily, by 251 votes to 166, with 162 Republicans joining 89 Democrats in favor. The bill, which is supposed to be passed every five years, is more than a year overdue after congressional negotiators struggled to forge a compromise. A vote in the Democratic-run Senate could come as early as Thursday and the bill is expected to pass, Senate Agriculture Committee Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow told reporters Wednesday. White House spokesman Jay Carney said President Barack Obama would sign the legislation. The wide-ranging legislation affects about 16 million jobs in the country's agricultural sector and can have an impact on the business landscape for major agricultural companies. "This bill eliminates unnecessary subsidies, creates a more effective farm safety-net and strengthens our commitment to conservation of land and water," Stabenow, a Michigan Democrat, said in a statement. Stabenow was on the House floor Wednesday and was seen hugging some members on the House floor after the vote. The agriculture committees say the bill will save about $23 billion over 10 years, compared with current funding -- less than many conservative Republicans had hoped for. The Congressional Budget Office, using a different measurement, has estimated savings of $16.6 billion over a decade. "All Americans stand to benefit in some way from this farm bill," House Speaker John Boehner said after the vote. "This is an improvement over current law, and there are no earmarks." About $8 billion in savings over 10 years comes from cuts to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, commonly known as food stamps. That was well below the $40 billion cut advocated by the Republican-led House, which would have been the largest reduction in a generation, but it was still double the amount originally supported by Senate Democrats. Liberal lawmakers decried the cut of about 1 percent to the safety net program, which goes to about 47 million low-income people to buy food and accounts for more than three-quarters of the farm bill's spending. "This bill will make hunger worse in America," Democratic Rep. Jim McGovern of Massachusetts said on the House floor. Conservative Pressure With congressional elections looming in November, Obama has highlighted social safety-net programs such as food stamps and unemployment insurance as a way to combat the widening income gap in the United States. Conservative pressure groups Heritage Action and Club for Growth said the bill was too expensive and had urged a "no" vote. The groups said they would include the results in their scorecards of members' voting records for 2014. The last farm bill, which passed in 2008, expired in September after being extended for one year while negotiators ironed out differences between measures approved in the House and Senate. The legislation ends so-called direct payment subsidies, which for years have been doled out to farmers and landowners -- to the tune of some $5 billion a year -- regardless of whether there is a need for support and whether they actually grew crops. Instead, agriculture insurance programs would be expanded to help producers manage risk. The bill also would establish permanent disaster assistance for livestock producers.
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Given the premium tooffer, you shouldprobably avoid the stock (BLC) here as its upside will be limitedunless ofcourse you're a merger arbitrage specialist. Gannett, on the other hand, stands to gain potential appreciation fromhere. While it's only a Zacks Rank #3now, that could change as the deal comes to an end.
The transactionvaluation implies a 9.4xaverage 2011/2012 EBITDA multiple prior to synergies, and a 5.4xmultipleassuming expected synergies (according to Belo).
Following a multi-year decline, the housing market has been helping to fuel US economic growth in 2013, with double-digit, year-over-year increases in single-family home sales and median housing prices.